Likely voters · 5 polls · 1 of 5 internal or partisan surveys
Sep 14, 2026–Oct 10, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 4.8 percentage points
| Reported answer | Average support |
|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 48.2% |
| David Jolly | 43.4% |
Included surveys & calculation
- Change Research · fieldwork ended Oct 10, 2026 ↗ · Internal or partisan survey
- MDW Communications · fieldwork ended Oct 10, 2026 ↗
- St. Pete Polls · fieldwork ended Oct 7, 2026 ↗
- Targoz Market Research · fieldwork ended Oct 4, 2026 ↗
- Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · fieldwork ended Sep 21, 2026 ↗
Add each answer’s reported support across these 5 surveys and divide by 5. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →