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2026 Florida Governor Election: Candidates, Polls & Voting

A ballot brings together several decisions that share an election date but may follow different rules. The office, jurisdiction and stage of the election tell you what each choice means.

Start with the office and the place

An election record describes a particular office or question in a particular jurisdiction. A statewide contest is different from a congressional district, a city council seat or a school district. An address can help connect those boundaries, but a ZIP code alone is not a guarantee of one exact ballot. Use the election authority’s own ballot lookup to confirm the final choices for a voter.

Separate a filing from a ballot appearance

A campaign-finance filing tells you that a financial record exists. It does not, by itself, establish that the person qualified for the November ballot. A primary participant, withdrawn candidate and certified general-election candidate can all leave public records. Read the election stage and the source label before treating a directory as a current candidate list. Registered write-in candidates are a separate category whose rules depend on the jurisdiction.

Read the full elections & ballots guide →
2026 · Governor

Florida governor election

Election Day: November 3, 2026. Meet the published candidates, compare reported surveys and make your voting plan.

Make your voting plan

Florida

Who is on the November ballot?

November 3, 2026 · 8 printed ballot names · alphabetical

Official November list checked .

November write-in information

Write-in rules and filing deadlines vary by office and state. Check the current official list; the printed roster alone does not establish whether write-ins are eligible. Official write-in information ↗

Dates for November 3

Download calendar ↓

Partial coverage: only the dated entries below have been checked. Confirm other deadlines and exceptions with your election office.

Florida · Sourced election dates
ActionDateDetails and source
Register online
Passed
Registration deadline for the general election.
Official source ↗
Register by mail
Passed
Registration deadline; confirm method-specific receipt/postmark rules.
Official source ↗
Register in person
Passed
Registration deadline for the general election.
Official source ↗
Early voting begins
3 days left
Mandatory statewide early-voting period begins; counties may offer October 19–23.
Official source ↗
Early voting ends
10 days left
Mandatory period ends; counties may also offer November 1.
Official source ↗
Request mail ballot
1 day left
Request for a mailed ballot must reach the county supervisor by 5 p.m.
Official source ↗
Return ballot
13 days left
Domestic voted ballots must reach the supervisor by 7 p.m. local time; overseas rules differ.
Official source ↗

Checked 2026-10-16. Confirm local details and exceptions with your election office.

POLLING · SURVEYS, NOT PREDICTIONS

What do the polls say?

29 survey records

Individual surveys of 2026 contests, including earlier cycle history from 2025. Matchups and populations stay separate; older or hypothetical matchups do not establish who is on the current ballot.

Simple average, not a forecast

Each pollster’s latest general-election survey ending within the last 30 days, with equal weight. Reviewed candidate identities join spelling variants; different matchups and voter populations stay separate. Percentages describe reported support, not a chance of winning.

Newest fieldwork appears first. When dates tie, the default favors more pollsters not marked internal or partisan in this 30-day window. Source labels remain visible; this is not a pollster-quality rating.

Likely voters · 5 polls · 1 of 5 internal or partisan surveys

Sep 14, 2026–Oct 10, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 4.8 percentage points

Reported answerAverage support
Byron Donalds48.2%
David Jolly43.4%
Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 5 surveys and divide by 5. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Registered voters · 1 poll

Sep 28, 2026–Oct 4, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 9.0 percentage points

Reported answerAverage support
Byron Donalds48.0%
David Jolly39.0%
Included surveys & calculation

Add each answer’s reported support across these 1 surveys and divide by 1. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →

Hover or tap a date to see the survey and source.

Polling history for the selected matchup18 survey observations. Vertical scale: reported support from 0 to 60 percent. Select a survey date to read its source. Arrow keys move between dates. Exact figures and source links follow in the survey reports.0%15%30%45%60%Byron Donalds: 47% · Change Research · Oct 10, 2026 · 920 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/research/2026/2026-10-12-florida-aapor-methodology-statementByron Donalds: 46% · MDW Communications · Oct 10, 2026 · 2,351 people surveyed · https://www.mdwcomm.com/media/florida-statewide-poll-october-2026.htmlByron Donalds: 45% · St. Pete Polls · Oct 7, 2026 · 836 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/823921-new-st-pete-polls-survey-has-ashley-moody-at-47-angie-nixon-at-45-and-the-senate-race-still-inside-the-margin-of-error/Byron Donalds: 52% · Targoz Market Research · Oct 4, 2026 · 857 people surveyed · https://jmipoll.comByron Donalds: 46% · Change Research · Sep 27, 2026 · 1,063 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/research/2026/2026-09-28-florida-aapor-methodology-statementByron Donalds: 51% · Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sep 21, 2026 · 830 people surveyed · https://www.stetson.edu/artsci/cpor/media/cpor-sept.-2026-poll-final.pdfByron Donalds: 43.5% · St. Pete Polls · Sep 17, 2026 · 913 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/820638-poll-byron-donalds-44-david-jolly-43-in-dead-heat-race-for-florida-governor/Byron Donalds: 46% · University of North Florida · Jul 17, 2026 · 848 people surveyed · https://www.unfporl.org/presser-pageByron Donalds: 42% · Change Research · May 16, 2026 · 1,593 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Deep-Dive-into-Florida-1.pdfByron Donalds: 47% · Cherry Communications · May 9, 2026 · 604 people surveyed · https://www.flchamber.com/new-florida-chamber-statewide-poll-shows-ashley-moody-byron-donalds-leading-potential-democratic-opponents-in-november-ballot-testByron Donalds: 40% · The Public Sentiment Institute · Apr 27, 2026 · 687 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/document/d/1qaGOwbWKWk-5XYy9sSVIl06Njp4eAK3L9kYx1iKYPuI/edit?tab=t.0Byron Donalds: 49% · Echelon Insights · Apr 9, 2026 · 406 people surveyed · https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/NetChoice-Apr-2026-National-Antitrust-Survey-Topline.pdfByron Donalds: 41.2% · MDW Communications · Apr 3, 2026 · 1,834 people surveyed · https://files.constantcontact.com/633ccf07901/581e6534-4e18-43a0-bffb-7cc7221a349a.pdf?rdr=trueByron Donalds: 44.2% · Emerson College · Mar 31, 2026 · 1,125 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b8oV9f1Zzl_Uew5WPkIIeFLjVMJuHNf7/edit?gid=1842029095#gid=1842029095Byron Donalds: 42% · University of North Florida · Mar 2, 2026 · 786 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69a83673b961e1161d90f552/1772631667881/PORL+2026+Spring+Statewide+LV+-+EMBARGO+3.4.26.pdfByron Donalds: 45% · University of North Florida · Oct 25, 2025 · 728 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69962e376fb07f4b5e4c663a/1771449911414/UNF+PORL+Fall+Statewide+2025+LV+-+Press+Release+-+REVISED.pdfByron Donalds: 49% · McLaughlin & Associates · Aug 27, 2025 · 800 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/755696-new-poll-shows-byron-donalds-with-8-point-edge-on-david-jolly/Byron Donalds: 36.7% · Victory Insights · Jun 10, 2025 · 600 people surveyed · https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PollSummary_FL-Gov_06-11-2025.pdfDavid Jolly: 47% · Change Research · Oct 10, 2026 · 920 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/research/2026/2026-10-12-florida-aapor-methodology-statementDavid Jolly: 44% · MDW Communications · Oct 10, 2026 · 2,351 people surveyed · https://www.mdwcomm.com/media/florida-statewide-poll-october-2026.htmlDavid Jolly: 45% · St. Pete Polls · Oct 7, 2026 · 836 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/823921-new-st-pete-polls-survey-has-ashley-moody-at-47-angie-nixon-at-45-and-the-senate-race-still-inside-the-margin-of-error/David Jolly: 42% · Targoz Market Research · Oct 4, 2026 · 857 people surveyed · https://jmipoll.comDavid Jolly: 48% · Change Research · Sep 27, 2026 · 1,063 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/research/2026/2026-09-28-florida-aapor-methodology-statementDavid Jolly: 39% · Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research · Sep 21, 2026 · 830 people surveyed · https://www.stetson.edu/artsci/cpor/media/cpor-sept.-2026-poll-final.pdfDavid Jolly: 43.4% · St. Pete Polls · Sep 17, 2026 · 913 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/820638-poll-byron-donalds-44-david-jolly-43-in-dead-heat-race-for-florida-governor/David Jolly: 41% · University of North Florida · Jul 17, 2026 · 848 people surveyed · https://www.unfporl.org/presser-pageDavid Jolly: 46% · Change Research · May 16, 2026 · 1,593 people surveyed · https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Deep-Dive-into-Florida-1.pdfDavid Jolly: 39% · Cherry Communications · May 9, 2026 · 604 people surveyed · https://www.flchamber.com/new-florida-chamber-statewide-poll-shows-ashley-moody-byron-donalds-leading-potential-democratic-opponents-in-november-ballot-testDavid Jolly: 40% · The Public Sentiment Institute · Apr 27, 2026 · 687 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/document/d/1qaGOwbWKWk-5XYy9sSVIl06Njp4eAK3L9kYx1iKYPuI/edit?tab=t.0David Jolly: 43% · Echelon Insights · Apr 9, 2026 · 406 people surveyed · https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/NetChoice-Apr-2026-National-Antitrust-Survey-Topline.pdfDavid Jolly: 40.5% · MDW Communications · Apr 3, 2026 · 1,834 people surveyed · https://files.constantcontact.com/633ccf07901/581e6534-4e18-43a0-bffb-7cc7221a349a.pdf?rdr=trueDavid Jolly: 39.4% · Emerson College · Mar 31, 2026 · 1,125 people surveyed · https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b8oV9f1Zzl_Uew5WPkIIeFLjVMJuHNf7/edit?gid=1842029095#gid=1842029095David Jolly: 36% · University of North Florida · Mar 2, 2026 · 786 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69a83673b961e1161d90f552/1772631667881/PORL+2026+Spring+Statewide+LV+-+EMBARGO+3.4.26.pdfDavid Jolly: 34% · University of North Florida · Oct 25, 2025 · 728 people surveyed · https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6994d571bce3436c60d86870/t/69962e376fb07f4b5e4c663a/1771449911414/UNF+PORL+Fall+Statewide+2025+LV+-+Press+Release+-+REVISED.pdfDavid Jolly: 41% · McLaughlin & Associates · Aug 27, 2025 · 800 people surveyed · https://floridapolitics.com/archives/755696-new-poll-shows-byron-donalds-with-8-point-edge-on-david-jolly/David Jolly: 31.4% · Victory Insights · Jun 10, 2025 · 600 people surveyed · https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PollSummary_FL-Gov_06-11-2025.pdfJun 10, 2025Oct 10, 2026
Byron DonaldsDavid Jolly

Party colors: Republican red, Democratic blue, Independent purple. Other or unmatched affiliations are gray. Dash patterns distinguish candidates sharing a color.

Dots show reported support. Lines connect surveys over time—not an average or forecast. Pollsters can differ. Missing values and multiple surveys ending on the same date break the lines.

How to read this chart

No average, trend estimate, or win probability. Different matchups and populations are not combined. Dates mark the last day people were surveyed. The vertical scale always starts at zero; use “Full 0–100% scale” to compare charts on the same scale. The number of people surveyed is the survey sample size, not the number supporting a candidate. Select “Survey source” to inspect every report, including overlapping dots.

Individual survey reports (18)

Latest surveys · selected matchup

Individual reports. Original sources and methodology below.

2026 Florida

Change Research

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican47%
  • David JollyDemocratic47%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
920 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Freedom Project USA
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
DEM
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202chaea67d341
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican46%
  • David JollyDemocratic44%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
2,351 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
EDGE Communications
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202mdwc8b1a4b5
2026 Florida

St. Pete Polls

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican45%
  • David JollyDemocratic45%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
836 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Florida Politics
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202st.5da962b0
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican52%
  • David JollyDemocratic42%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
857 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
The James Madison Institute
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202tar4f4b4cfb
2026 Florida

Change Research

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican46%
  • David JollyDemocratic48%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
1,063 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Freedom Project USA
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202cha9102cf63
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican51%
  • David JollyDemocratic39%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
830 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202steb5a21bdb
2026 Florida

St. Pete Polls

Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican43.5%
  • David JollyDemocratic43.4%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
913 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Florida Politics
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202st.6ddeb57c
Fieldwork –
Reported support
  • Byron DonaldsRepublican46%
  • David JollyDemocratic41%

0–100% scale · Listed alphabetically

Sample
848 people surveyed
Population
Likely voters
Survey details & methodology
Reported margin of error
Not supplied in this feed
Method
Not supplied in this feed
Sponsors
Not supplied in this feed
Pollster/sponsor partisan label
Not supplied
Internal poll
Not marked internal by provider
Added by provider
Provider ID
gov202uni4c4d3f80

Labels and figures are supplied by VoteHub. A listed matchup does not establish ballot qualification or primary/general-election status unless the source explicitly says so. Unlisted responses may include undecided voters or other choices; the displayed figures are not rescaled to total 100%.

Polling compilation: VoteHub · CC BY 4.0. Electionpedia normalizes dates, matches races, and visualizes reported results; it does not estimate outcomes. Original survey links are attached to each report.

Saved polling snapshot in use (captured 10/16/2026, 9:21:35 PM UTC). Automatic refresh has not completed for every feed; check each survey’s field dates.

Last successful feed updates
  • Senate: 10/16/2026, 9:21:35 PM UTC · 474 survey records
  • House: 10/16/2026, 9:21:35 PM UTC · 133 survey records
  • Governor: 10/16/2026, 9:21:35 PM UTC · 349 survey records
  • National preference: 10/16/2026, 9:21:35 PM UTC · 546 survey records

An update time is when we checked the feed, not when a survey was conducted. Coverage is not exhaustive.

Follow campaign money

Governor campaigns file with their state’s campaign-finance authorities. Federal candidate totals do not describe this race.

SECRETARY OF STATE ↗

FLORIDA ELECTIONS COMMISSION ↗

State campaign-finance sources →

No verified prediction-market match is connected for this race yet. See national House and Senate market prices →

Election inventory: National Governors Association ↗ · checked 2026-10-11. Ballot status comes from the separate state certification when present.