Likely voters · 2 polls
Sep 22, 2026–Sep 30, 2026 · Lead between the two highest answers: 4.5 percentage points
| Reported answer | Average support |
|---|---|
| Ty Masterson | 50.5% |
| Cindy Holscher | 46.0% |
Included surveys & calculation
- The New York Times/Siena University · fieldwork ended Sep 30, 2026 ↗
- Wedgewood Polls · fieldwork ended Sep 24, 2026 ↗
Add each answer’s reported support across these 2 surveys and divide by 2. No house effects, sample weights, undecided allocation or error band is applied. Incomplete numeric matchups are excluded from this calculation but remain in the survey history. Full methodology →